Carlos Alcaraz vs Holger Rune Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

When analyzing the performances of Carlos Alcaraz and Holger Rune over recent months, it is essential to consider both second serve effectiveness and return game statistics. In recent form, Rune has demonstrated superior proficiency on his second serve, winning 48.4% of points compared to Alcaraz's 42.68%. This performance indicator has shown a strong correlation with match prediction accuracy.

In terms of return game success, Alcaraz has claimed 42.67% of points from his opponents' second serves, while Rune has marginally surpassed him at 42.82%. However, Alcaraz exhibits a higher win percentage of 26.9% for first serve returns compared to Rune's 23.69%, which often serves as a crucial factor in determining the favored athlete in head-to-head encounters.

Evaluating their ability to perform under pressure, both players show almost identical aptitude in saving breakpoints, with Alcaraz at 53.16% and Rune closely matching at 53.21%. These figures, alongside historical performance records, suggest that Alcaraz's higher overall match win rate of 82.89% outshines Rune's 64.18% over the last year, providing a broader prediction perspective.

Examining surface-specific statistics, Alcaraz has exhibited his highest career win percentage on grass courts at 89% (W/L 24/3), whereas Rune's strongest surface is on indoor hard courts, winning 71% (W/L 70/28). Contrastingly, Alcaraz's weakest surface is indoor hard, with a 70% win rate (W/L 30/13), while Rune struggles most on hard courts, winning 57% (W/L 60/46).

In Masters series competitions within the past year, Alcaraz has participated primarily, achieving a 72.73% success rate (W/L 16/6). Rune's performance in the same series is slightly lower, winning 67.86% of his matches (W/L 19/9). When comparing these stats to determine favorites, the level of events each player has competed in must be considered.

Historically, head-to-head encounters have favored Alcaraz, who has been victorious in both matches out of three total encounters, with Rune failing to secure any wins. From the seven sets they have contested, Alcaraz has triumphed in six, including their last grass-court face-off at Wimbledon, where Alcaraz won decisively 7-6(3) 6-4 6-4.

In scenarios requiring a deciding set, Rune maintains a slight edge with a 70% success rate compared to Alcaraz's 68%. However, Alcaraz has consistently confronted opponents of a higher average rank, 53.67 versus Rune's 64.3 over the last year, illustrating his capability to compete under such circumstances.

Examining breakpoint conversion rates as an indicator for live betting opportunities, Rune excels with a 34.43% success rate compared to Alcaraz's 28.74%. Nevertheless, Alcaraz holds a psychological advantage, having won both tiebreaks in their head-to-head matchups.

Considering the comprehensive statistical analysis provided, while Rune exhibits specific strengths in certain areas, the overall data leans towards Alcaraz as the more likely victor in their upcoming match.